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The Nasdaq’s Historical Trend Towards Growth: A Top Pick for the Savvy Investor

As the Nasdaq soars to new highs this year, fueled by the influx of investors into growth stocks, particularly those in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, the bull market’s signals echo loudly. This trajectory affirms a preference for growth companies, sparking optimism for further momentum on two significant fronts.

Firstly, the nascent AI market forecasts a robust double-digit compound annual growth rate in the coming years, potentially leading to a trillion-dollar market by 2030. Companies are rushing to seize the AI narrative, either enhancing their operations or offering AI solutions to others, all in pursuit of amplified earnings. Today’s investors and those on the horizon are eager to partake in these growth narratives, propelling these companies’ shares upward alongside the Nasdaq.

A second compelling reason to believe in a Nasdaq ascendancy this year lies in historical precedent. Since 2009, the three growth phases following years of declines have seen Nasdaq advancing for at least two consecutive years, with the second year witnessing double-digit surges. With the Nasdaq already 4.5% higher year-to-date, the index teeters at a point where a historical surge may push it even higher.

A smiling investor traces a line higher in the air on a city street.

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The Thriving AI Investment Arena

The recent stock market upswing, predominantly driven by AI-related ventures, stands testament to the enduring allure of this sector. The market’s long-term trajectory points to continued gains, with companies poised for significant benefits by investing in AI technology. Chip designers and manufacturers of vital components like servers and workstations stand to gain immensely.

Among the multitude of companies in the AI ecosystem, Nvidia emerges as a frontrunner, leveraging its graphics processing units (GPUs) as the industry standard for training and inferencing, critical to power AI models. Originally catered to the gaming industry, Nvidia’s GPUs were repurposed for general use, fueling AI applications through CUDA, a parallel computing platform. This strategic shift has seen Nvidia’s revenue from AI surpassing that from gaming, propelling earnings to astronomical heights.

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Rising to the Challenge: Nvidia vs. Intel

While Nvidia currently commands an 80% share of the AI chip market, competitors are making aggressive moves to usurp its dominance. Intel, for instance, recently announced the Gaudi 3 AI accelerator, promising superior performance compared to Nvidia’s H100 in specific applications like large language models.

Despite the budding competition, Nvidia’s commitment to innovation and timely market launches, such as the upcoming Blackwell architecture, featuring cutting-edge enhancements, underscores its resilience. While rival chips may momentarily outclass Nvidia’s offerings, the company’s forward-thinking initiatives and robust earnings prospects paint a promising future.

Nvidia’s stock, though having surged 200% in the past year, still trades at a reasonable 32x forward earnings estimates, signifying a lucrative opportunity for investors in a high-growth market. Analysts anticipate a stellar 35% annual growth rate for Nvidia over the next five years, cementing its status as a prime stock pick.

All signs point to Nvidia as an attractive investment proposition, poised to facilitate the Nasdaq’s upward trajectory in the days to come.

Contemplating a $1,000 Investment in Nvidia

Before delving into Nvidia stock, it’s crucial to weigh your options carefully. The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analysts recently unveiled their list of the 10 best stocks for future returns, with Nvidia conspicuously absent. These recommended stocks boast immense growth potential, offering a compelling alternative for prospective investors.

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Adria Cimino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Intel and suggests options like long January 2025 $45 calls on Intel and short May 2024 $47 calls on Intel. Find out more about The Motley Fool’s disclosure policy.