Bitcoin has witnessed a remarkable 120% surge compared to this time last year. It seems like the crypto enthusiasts are just getting started with their optimistic outlook on the future of Bitcoin. Many of them project a bullish trend that could extend well into 2025.
What fuels this confidence in the continuous rise of Bitcoin’s price? The historical evidence following the last three Bitcoin halvings provides a compelling argument.
Bitcoin halving, occurring approximately every four years, involves cutting the block reward for Bitcoin miners in half. As the fourth halving approaches on April 20, 2024, at block height 840,000, the reduction in the supply of Bitcoin entering the market historically triggered a bullish trend.
Examining past post-halving trends of Bitcoin prices will make it clear why there is such steadfast conviction among enthusiasts.
Moreover, almost 60% of analysts polled by Finder predict that the upcoming halving will not only spur a Bitcoin bull run but also ignite a broader crypto market rally.
However, does this mean it’s smooth sailing for Bitcoin in the coming year and a half?
Future Outlook for Bitcoin: Smooth Sailing Ahead?
While Bitcoin might achieve a new all-time high surpassing $69,000 before the end of 2024, the journey might not be without its bumps. Corrections of 20-30% during bull markets are typical.
If we are currently witnessing a “melt-up” scenario where asset prices soar before a potential crash, a more substantial correction cannot be ruled out. Market instability might escalate if a significant portion of the $6 trillion parked in money market mutual funds flows back in before the regional banking crisis worsens, potentially leading to a substantial market correction by the year-end.
Given the current political landscape of an election year, it is conceivable that the U.S. Federal Reserve and government could inject money into the market to sustain it. Nonetheless, predicting Bitcoin’s price by the end of the year remains a challenging task.
Smart Investment Strategies During a Bitcoin Bull Market
So, how can investors navigate this period of Bitcoin halvings and macroeconomic uncertainty? No one possesses a crystal ball to foresee the future with certainty.
One sound approach to investing in any asset class is through dollar-cost averaging, where you make periodic purchases to mitigate the impact of market fluctuations and benefit from varying price points.