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Powell’s Impact: Stocks Surge on Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts Powell’s Impact: Stocks Surge on Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts

Amidst the financial winds of change at the
Jackson Hole Symposium, certain exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced an electrifying surge – a veritable symphony of market optimism was set in motion by the orations of Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

“The time has come for policy to adjust,” Powell declared in his compelling speech.

This strong statement on forthcoming rate cuts sparked a robust rally within the stock market’s most rate-sensitive sectors. Let’s delve into the top performers on that exhilarating Friday: regional banks, solar, and home builders.

Regional Banks

The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) surged a remarkable 5% by 3:00 p.m. ET, dazzling investors with its most potent session since December 2023.

All 141 of its constituents flourished, highlighting a sweeping rally across the regional banking landscape.

Noteworthy performers such as Eagle Bancorp, Inc. (EGBN), United Community Banks Inc. (UCB), and Valley National Bancorp (VLY) led the charge, boasting gains of 10.6%, 9.6%, and 8.7%, respectively.

Regional banks revel in lower interest rates as they translate to diminished borrowing costs, igniting heightened demand from loan-seeking patrons.

In addition, decreased stress on non-performing exposures, especially in commercial real estate, may provide respite to U.S. regional banks, empowering a wave of refinancing and business investments, thereby enhancing their financial stability.

Solar

The Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) soared by 4.6% on Friday, achieving its most stellar performance since late May 2024.

Prominent gainers like Sunnova Energy International Inc. (NOVA) and SolarEdge Technologies Inc. (SEDG) commanded the spotlight with gains of 13.7% and 12.5%, respectively.

Solar companies typically grapple with hefty upfront capital requirements for their projects. Lower interest rates herald a boon as they slash borrowing costs, rendering it more cost-effective to finance their solar endeavors.

Home Builders

The iShares Home Construction ETF (ITB) climbed 3.8%, poised to conclude Friday’s trading with fresh record highs.

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Leading luminaries within this domain, including Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR), Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH), and Arhaus, Inc. (ARHS), showcased gains exceeding 7%.

Amidst increased housing demand fueled by more affordable mortgage rates and reduced financing costs, the home construction sector revels in propitious tailwinds.

Chart: Regional Banks, Solar Energy, Home Builders Rally

Image: Benzinga Pro

Powell’s remarks were construed as a promising signal for the first interest rate cut at the imminent September Open Market Committee meeting. Nonetheless, Powell remained taciturn regarding the magnitude of the cut or the future trajectory of interest rates.

The landscape is poised for a dramatic shift, particularly for companies adversely impacted by the recent fervor in interest rates. Market sentiments were already rife with expectations of a September rate cut and a cumulative 85 basis points of cuts by year-end.

“Fed Chair Jerome Powell was unequivocally dovish in his Jackson Hole speech today. He embraced the narrative of impending rate cuts, aligning with market anticipations,” remarked Ed Yardeni, President at Yardeni Research.

“Fed Chair Powell adopted a dovish stance on the labor market at Jackson Hole, signaling a September cut,” affirmed Aditya Bhave, an economist at Bank of America.

“Powell struck a dovish tone on the labor market and resolutely underscored the Fed’s reluctance towards further labor market deterioration,” elucidated Jan Hatzius, an economist at Goldman Sachs.

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